FiveThirtyEight ’s Nate Silver run no fewer than , I ’m sure , 3.48 million simulations predictingwhat would happenif Hurricane Irene directly slay Manhattan at full strength . If it did , know what the end consequence would be ? economical RECKONING .
Using historical data point from 20 hurricane to hit the Northeast in the past tense , and adjusting the economical damage into 2011 equivalents , Silver assembled a table of how much money Hurricane Irene will leech from NYC if Manhattan is hit directly . If a tropic storm ( classified as have wind speeds vagabond between 40 and 70 mph ) collision , it could cost anywhere between $ 133 million and $ 2.2 billion . If a class 1 hurricane hits ( 75 - 95 mph ) , the monetary value could range between $ 3.5 billion and $ 22.9 billion .
The costs just keep skyrocketing from there . If , for whatever intellect , a hurricane with 130 mph breaking wind were to smash into the metropolis , damages might cost as much as $ 600 billion . But before you PANIC , Silver subtly mentions that there ’s presently a 5%-10 % chance of hurricane - strength hint gain Manhattan . Oh .
As you were . [ FiveThirtyEight ]
Hurricane ireneIreneSimulations
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